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International Journal Of Engineering, Business And Management(IJEBM)

External Debt and Economic Growth: Empirical Evidence from Developing Countries

Nechirwan Burhan Ismael , Shamal Hasan Obaid Mahmod , Hariwan Subhi Khorsheed


International Journal of Engineering, Business And Management(IJEBM), Vol-8,Issue-3, July - September 2024, Pages 1-9 , 10.22161/ijebm.8.3.1

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Article Info: Received: 15 Jul 2024; Received in revised form: 07 Aug 2024; Accepted: 12 Aug 2024; Available online: 17 Aug 2024

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This study investigates the complex relationship between external debt and economic growth in developing countries. Utilizing a quantitative research methodology, data was collected from three selected developing countries through an online questionnaire distributed to key stakeholders, totaling 189 responses. Various statistical techniques, including t-tests, Chi-square tests, Variance Inflation Factor (VIF) assessment, Partial Least Squares Regression (PLS), and Principal Component Analysis (PCA), were employed to analyze the data. The findings reveal that moderate levels of external debt can positively impact economic growth, while excessive debt levels are detrimental. Effective debt management practices and strong institutional frameworks significantly enhance the positive effects of external debt. The study also highlights the adverse impact of external economic shocks on the debt-growth relationship. Key predictors of economic growth identified include external debt levels, debt management practices, and institutional quality. These factors underscore the importance of maintaining sustainable debt levels, implementing robust debt management strategies, and improving governance to optimize the benefits of external borrowing. The study concludes with recommendations for policymakers to maintain sustainable debt levels, negotiate favorable borrowing terms, and develop risk management strategies to mitigate external shocks. Limitations of the study include the reliance on data from three countries and the cross-sectional design. Future research should consider longitudinal studies, broader samples, sector-specific analyses, qualitative approaches, and the impact of global economic changes. Overall, this study provides valuable insights into the dynamics of external debt and economic growth in developing countries, offering guidance for policy formulation and economic planning to promote sustainable development.

External Debt, Economic Growth, Debt Management, Institutional Quality

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